Wuhan,epicentro dell’epidemia di coro-
navirus, convertirà 11 strutture, tra
cui palestre e centri sportivi,in ospe-
dali di fortuna, per un totale di oltre
10.000 posti letto.La misura, che non ha precedenti in
Cina, è stata presa per affrontare il
pressante problema della trasmissione
del virus. La città deve fornire letti
a più di 8.000 pazienti infetti e le
autorità provinciali hanno promesso di
non lasciare nessuno incustodito.
E vogliono ancora darci a bere che gli infetti sono ‘solo’ 20mila in tutta la Cina. Questa notizia è più in linea con i calcoli delle autorità americane, che vedono oltre 150mila infetti.
Ma ci sono altri calcoli, supposizioni fatte studiando l’atmosfera intorno alla città di Wuhan, che calcolano la cremazione di migliaia di cadaveri:
Gotta love 4chan. Track down terrorists and forward the info leading to a missile strike, watch a video of the sky and track plane info from around the world to find a flag in the middle of nowhere, and now calculating how many bodies burned using smog readings. https://t.co/LjAJ32FAO8
— Mister AntiBully (@MisterAntiBully) February 4, 2020
Tencent may have accidentally leaked real dat… | Taiwan News No idea how you verify this so its a grain of salt news report. But if the stories about China under reporting the Corona Virus issues then……… https://t.co/sGbx4cidtq
— Jason Bellard (@jbellforex) February 5, 2020
No idea if this six day old video on Wuhan’s crematoriums is reliable but suggests the government is under reporting deaths by up to a factor of 10: https://t.co/vE1O4EzfKa
— Janet Tavakoli (@JanetTavakoli) February 5, 2020
Sono tutti numeri privi di riferimenti ufficiali. Ma probabilmente più attinenti alla realtà di quelli del Partito Comunista cinese.
La schermata di Tencent è in teoria relativa ad uno scambio “wechat” di qualche giorno fa.
Se la osservate meglio comunque noterete che il tizio che ha modificato i numeri non è stato nemmeno in grado di allinearli correttamente, quindi è molto probabilmente “finta”.
Ne ho viste delle versioni con un numero a caso (sei milioni – “muh six gorillion” nello slang dei canali) sotto la voce “vittime”.
Per quanto riguarda i link della quantità di SO2 nell’aria di Wuhan, li ho presi da 8kun e non da half-chan. Su half-chan non si riesce ad avere nessuna conversazione costruttiva.
Vi incollo l’ultimo riepilogo di 8kun sui dati raccolti. Scusate la forma, ma i canali sono così.
nCoV-2019 Description for Dumdums v4
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.22.914952v2.full.pdf
Infection Timeline/Overview:
>2~15 day incubation period after initial infection
Average of 5 days incubation
95% present symptoms within 12 days
Quarantine observation is 14 days
>3~5 days after incubation, “flu-like” symptoms present
>5~7 days after that, the more severe and possibly fatal symptoms present
>unknown for total time of recovery
Current estimate is 2 to 5 weeks from infection to recovery
Symptoms Presentation – Early:
>described as “flu-like”
>fever – usually the first symptom
>coughing
>sneezing
>diarrhea
>shortness of breath
>headache
>chills
Symptoms Presentation – Late/Advanced:
>pneumonia
>internal hemorrhaging
>suppressed/compromised immune system
>toxin build up in the GI tract
Infection:
>spreads person-to-person
>airborne transmission possible
>asymptomatic infection – communicable during some or all of incubation period
>corpses of victims are especially contagious
>virus persists into feces, vomit, respiratory secretions, urine
>virus can survive “up to 5 days” on “smooth surfaces”
>possible animal-to-human infection
https://archive.is/ceQ5e
“avoid direct unprotected contact with live animals and surfaces in contact with animals”
Causes of Death:
>pneumonia/other illnesses complicated by weakened/suppressed immune system
>drowning in blood from hemorrhaging lungs
>multiple organ failure due to overwhelming viral shedding
nCoV-2019 Details:
>”novel coronavirus”
>novel meaning new, never encountered before
>coronavirus meaning family it belongs to
>other coronaviruses include the 4 strains of common cold, SARS and MERS
>currently unnamed
>based off a strain of bat coronavirus – 96% of nCoV-2019
>contains 4 small “inserts” of what match some portions of some HIV1 strains
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.30.927871v1.full.pdf
This report has been withdrawn.
It is important to note what the authors describe as “inserts” are actually the variance between SARS and nCoV-2019.
These 4 “inserts” appear to be the portions of nCoV-2019 that allows it to infect humans.
Due to the highly mutable nature of RNA viruses, it is possible a naturally occurring coronavirus strain mutated to gain portions that resemble some found in HIV1.
Also, as there are many cataloged strains of HIV, there are more possibilities for nCoV-2019 to be matched to it.
>acts on ACE2 receptors
ACE2 is a receptor found in cardiovascular system cells, including lungs and the heart.
>ACE2 seems to be expressed in asians, particularly males, at a higher rate, but demographic data is difficult to find
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.26.919985v1
“We also noticed that the only Asian donor (male) has a much higher ACE2-expressing cell ratio than white and African American donors (2.50% vs. 0.47% of all cells).”
https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007%2F978-0-387-33012-9_47.pdf
Previous hCoVs (human coronaviruses) also acted on ACE2 receptors.
More demographic data on ACE2 would be helpful.
>has infected more males than females
55-65% male vs 35-45% female
>RNA-based
RNA viruses are much more likely to mutate than DNA viruses.
>R0 of 2.2~2.68 estimated based on highly suspect CCP numbers.
https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.01.23.917351v1
R0 describes the number of people one individual with nCoV-2019 will infect.
>Real R0 suspected to be 4.x
>aggressive viral shedding
>asymptomatic infection
>wide variance of symptom presentation – some infected display few if any symptoms before recovery, while others rapidly die after the “flu” stage.